Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002421 0.002573 0.002736 0.002923 0.003134 0.003365 0.003642
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.002435 0.002675 0.002971 0.003329 0.003756 0.004317
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002044 0.002289 0.002576 0.002946 0.003421 0.004030 0.004901
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001942 0.002215 0.002547 0.002992 0.003596 0.004424 0.005727
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001839 0.002126 0.002484 0.002982 0.003688 0.004713 0.006473
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001737 0.002029 0.002401 0.002932 0.003710 0.004898 0.007099
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001694 0.002003 0.002406 0.002998 0.003906 0.005383 0.008428
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001650 0.001970 0.002397 0.003042 0.004072 0.005853 0.009951
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001581 0.001900 0.002331 0.002994 0.004080 0.006039 0.010933
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001505 0.001817 0.002241 0.002901 0.004001 0.006046 0.011464
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001462 0.001776 0.002208 0.002892 0.004065 0.006343 0.013015
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001377 0.001672 0.002079 0.002725 0.003832 0.005987 0.012317
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001348 0.001649 0.002069 0.002749 0.003953 0.006432 0.014757
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001326 0.001634 0.002070 0.002792 0.004116 0.007021 0.018634
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001289 0.001595 0.002034 0.002770 0.004152 0.007324 0.021850
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001270 0.001582 0.002035 0.002811 0.004320 0.008025 0.029608
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001240 0.001552 0.002009 0.002802 0.004382 0.008463 0.037845
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001204 0.001511 0.001964 0.002757 0.004361 0.008649 0.045081
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001194 0.001508 0.001977 0.002816 0.004578 0.009693 0.083479
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001180 0.001498 0.001980 0.002856 0.004758 0.010735 0.214777
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001150 0.001463 0.001939 0.002812 0.004734 0.010984 0.441871
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001113 0.001417 0.001880 0.002729 0.004605 0.010755 0.548924
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001093 0.001396 0.001860 0.002721 0.004661 0.011358 NaN